AI Verdict Track Record
How accurate are HobbyAlpha's Buy, Hold, and Sell verdicts? See the AI track record: real outcomes measured against price changes 30, 60, and 90 days after each verdict was issued.
How accuracy is measured
- Each verdict (Buy, Hold, Trade the Hype, Avoid, Speculative) is recorded at issue time with the card's market price
- 30, 60, and 90 days later, the actual price change is graded against what the verdict predicted
- A Buy verdict is correct if the price rose relative to the benchmark; Trade the Hype is correct if it fell or stayed flat
- Inconclusive outcomes (insufficient comps, no follow-up sales) are counted separately
Why transparency matters
HobbyAlpha publishes its verdict accuracy publicly so collectors can judge the AI's reliability for themselves. No cherry-picking — all issued verdicts with matured horizons are included.